Sam Altman Leads with the Lie

OpenAI almost surely exploited information Buckmaster and Levent innocently feed into Codex. Buckmaster is trustworthy. Nothing that Sam Altman says should be accepted as true.

~7 minutes

I Suspect that Xi is Not Worried

Between Wednesday’s euphoric market reaction to the administration’s narrowed focus on a trade war with only China and the Friday’s quiet surrender exempting Chinese-made computers and smartphones from the President’s reciprocal [sic] tariffs, there was a story on Thursday about the astonishing disconnect between Trump’s belligerence and the nation’s vulnerability.

This Wall Street Journal article turns surreal when it describes recent Trump actions that make the nation more vulnerable. It is as if the reporter was at a loss for words; or perhaps afraid.

~3 minutes

A Harsh Lesson About the World of Tech

There was a sad moment last week during the collapse of Frontier Math. Epoch AI had created this new benchmark to assess claims that the latest crop of AI models reason just like mathematicians with Ph.D.s who work on the research frontier.

~9 minutes

Base-Rate Blindness

Over the weekend, I had a chance to get to know Apollo Robbins. If you don’t recognize the name, Apollo came to public attention when he pickpocketed members of Jimmy Carter’s Secret Service detail.

~6 minutes

Harris’s Agenda is Vastly Better for the U.S. Economy

To protect a hard-earned reputation for objectivity, Nobel laureates in economics usually refrain from making public policy recommendations on the basis of personal values or political beliefs. We comment in public only when logic and evidence show that some proposal is unambiguously worse than a feasible alternative. Donald Trump embraces so many harmful policies that there wasn’t space to list them all in the letter that a group of us released today.

~1 minutes
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